I kinda sorta agree that the MCU will very likely have blow to it's quality in Phase 4. I dunno if it'll be Black Widow, I think Eternals may not pan out. The big Phase 1 risk was Thor and the risk in Phase 2 was Guardians. But these properties were always cool - just a bit out there among the other MCU films of their respective phase.
Eternals is just not 'cool'. Great for Marvelphiles in terms of mythology but let's be real; It's a so-so New Gods. It's not 'catchy'. To be fair MCU has turned nobodies into box office hits before... but the last time I felt exactly like this was Inhumans. Didn't believe in the movie, didn't believe in the show.
It's the MCU's first real flop. Movie canceled, show bombed.
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