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If its going to be like every time the WWE moves a show to a new network/channel, I give it till post-SummerSlam before the real regression happens. Maybe earlier if RAW struggles too much during the Road to Mania and post-Mania like last year.
Smackdown is going to benefit from the honeymoon period and Road to Mania focus but will need to carry the momentum till Summerslam. After that is usually when the WWE starts to enter the "don't care anymore" mood for the rest of the year.
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